Evaluarea cantităţilor de precipitaţii în Bazinul Râului Ialpug în sec. XXI. [Articol]

Abstract

The purpose of this research is to assess the average precipitation amounts in the Ialpug River Basin in the southern part of the Republic of Moldova in the years 2021-2040, 2041-2060 and 2081-2100 by developing high spatial resolution cartographic models. Annual and warm season precipitation, based on observations, with a resolution of 200 m in the reference period 1986-2005, were modeled using the regression equation method. Precipitation change factors (%) in future periods were extracted from the IPCC Interactive Atlas, RCM Cordex Europe, interpolated at a resolution of 200 m and multiplied by the precipitation in the reference periods for different time intervals, RCPs, seasonal intervals (Statistical Downscaling method). Future warm season precipitation differs little from those in the reference period, on the other hand, annual precipitation increases by 10-30 mm.