Численный прогноз сильных ливней на территории северо-западного причерноморья 11–13 сентября 2013 г. С помощью модели WRF [Articol]

Abstract

WRF-ARW mesoscale numerical weather prediction model is used to make hindcasts of exceptionally heavy mesohigh-type convective rainfall events (200–300 mm of precipitation in several hours) in Northwestern Black Sea Region on September 11–13, 2013. Initiated with the GFS and ECMWF IFS global model data, the model shows decent results for lead times about 9–12 hours, with hints of satisfactory forecasts up to 36 hours in advance.